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Kenanga Research: BNM likely to hold OPR at 3.0 pct for next 6-12 months

9 May 2024, 3:44 AM
Kenanga Research: BNM likely to hold OPR at 3.0 pct for next 6-12 months

KUALA LUMPUR, May 9 — Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) is expected to uphold its current overnight policy rate (OPR) of 3.0 per cent for the next six to 12 months, despite upside risk to prices.

Inflation rates are also expected to remain stable, staying below 3.0 per cent in 2024 and 2025, said Kenanga Research in a note.

It said the optimistic forecast is based on potential upward pressures on inflation due to the prospect of subsidy rationalisation in the second half of 2024 (2H 2024) and the recent wage hike for civil servants.

“Concurrently, there may be strong potential for the MYR/USD to strengthen below the 4.50 level by the end of 2024, supported by expectations that BNM will maintain its current stance for the remainder of the year and the government’s commitment to fiscal discipline,” said Kenanga Research.

— Bernama

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