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Ringgit slightly up on anticipation of lower US inflation data

11 Jul 2023, 2:37 AM
Ringgit slightly up on anticipation of lower US inflation data

KUALA LUMPUR, July 11 — The ringgit opened marginally higher against the US dollar as the greenback continued to trend lower due to markets’ expectation of a lower US Consumer Price Index (CPI) print set to be released tomorrow. 

At 9.05am, the local note traded at 4.6605/6650 against the greenback compared with 4.6685/6725 at yesterday’s close.

Bank Muamalat Malaysia Bhd chief economist and social finance head Mohd Afzanizam Abdul Rashid said consensus estimates the US headline and core CPI to record slower increases in June at 3.1 per cent (May: 4 per cent) and 5 per cent (May: 5.3 per cent), respectively. 

He said the US dollar index declined to 101.94 points while the 10-year US Treasury note yield eased to 3.99 per cent after hovering over 4 per cent in the past two days.

Indicators from China were not forthcoming, with the inflation rate flat at 0 per cent in June after rising 0.2 per cent in May.

China authorities have announced measures to support the real estate sector by allowing a one-year loan extension for ailing property developers.

“In that sense, the MYR/USD is expected to remain weak as the global outlook remains highly uncertain.

“While the ringgit may weaken in the near term, the latest fund flow in the bond markets showed that foreign investors continued to remain as net buyers at RM5.2 billion in June, higher from RM3 billion in the prior month,” he told Bernama.

In the first six months (H1) of 2023, foreign funds have been net buyers at RM21.2 billion, as opposed to being net sellers of RM3.2 billion in H1 2022. 

Foreign investors were seen accumulating Malaysian Government Securities, Government Investment Issue and Malaysia Islamic Treasury Bills amounting to RM13.4 billion, RM9.1 billion and RM2.4 billion, respectively.

“As such, it’s not all gloom and doom for the ringgit as foreign investors continue to favour Malaysia’s bond market.

“Perhaps they see a possible appreciation of the ringgit on the horizon and the prospect of lower interest rates going forward,” said Afzanizam.

The ringgit traded lower against a basket of major currencies. 

It fell vis-a-vis the euro to 5.1307/1357 from 5.1176/1220 at yesterday’s close, slipped against the Japanese yen to 3.2985/3020 from 3.2761/2792, and weakened against the British pound to 5.9981/6.0039 from 5.9785/9836. 

The local note traded mostly lower against other Asean currencies.

The ringgit eased versus the Singapore dollar to 3.4692/4728 from yesterday’s close of 3.4612/4644, weakened against the Thai baht to 13.3214/3400 from 13.2790/2961, and was marginally lower against the Philippine peso at 8.39/8.40 from 8.38/8.39. 

However, the ringgit improved against the Indonesian rupiah to 306.4/306.9 from 306.9/307.4 yesterday.

— Bernama

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